GOP governors across the country are staring down a wave of Trump-inspired primary challengers. Former Rep. Jim Renacci hopes to be a success story for them in Ohio.
The former congressman is challenging Gov. Mike DeWine, a mainstay of Ohio Republican politics for decades who is seeking reelection to a second term in November, more than 30 years after his first run for statewide office. Renacci is pouring his own money into the race against the incumbent, trying to push DeWine out in favor of a candidate who claims to more wholly embody the Republican Party shaped by former President Donald Trump.
The primary is developing as an early test case of intra-party rebellion against a number of Republican governors this year. DeWine has forged a long and decorated career in Ohio capped off by his governorship — but relations with his own changing party have been challenging at times. Renacci, meanwhile, has molded his campaign in Trump’s image — though he lacks Trump’s actual endorsement so far.
The GOP primary could show just how far Trumpism, even without the former president’s direct involvement, can take a challenger against a more traditional conservative governor who clashed with the most strident parts of the Republican base during the pandemic.
“I was fighting him, and then coronavirus hits, and then everybody jumps in the game and says, ‘We gotta stop this guy,’” Renacci said of DeWine and the state Republican Party during a speech to local activists here last week. “Well guess what? I was trying to stop him in 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, ‘21. And by God, we’re going to stop him in 2022.”
Renacci is following a well-trodden path of Republican hopefuls trying to catch the former president’s eye, lavishing praise on Trump and surrounding himself with staffers in Trump’s orbit. Renacci’s running mate Joe Knopp even signed off on a recent fundraising email raffling off an autographed copy of a film he worked on called “The Trump I Know.”
Brad Parscale, Trump’s former campaign manager, is advising Renacci’s bid to dethrone DeWine. Parscale shared with WEBICNEWS a polling memo from a survey conducted by Fabrizio Lee — Trump’s longtime pollster — that argued Renacci was in a strong position in his primary challenge, showing Renacci at 46 percent support to DeWine’s 38 percent in a head-to-head match-up among Republican primary voters.
The memo — which was addressed to “Renacci donors” — did not share the entire survey questionnaire, nor did it mention the third Republican primary candidate: Joe Blystone, a farmer.
The polling, according to the campaign, shows that the vast majority of likely Renacci voters support Trump and believe the 2020 election was “stolen” from him. “It’s amazing how many people, how many Republicans, in Ohio, believe the election was stolen,” Renacci told WEBICNEWS.
And Renacci’s camp is working hard to try to create a wedge between Trump and DeWine. “Jim Renacci’s the only Trump candidate,” Parscale said. “And it is clear from the data that Mike DeWine is the anti-Trump candidate.”
DeWine’s campaign declined to comment directly on the polling.
“Mike DeWine’s conservative record has been on display for the last three years,” said Brenton Temple, DeWine’s campaign manager, in a statement touting, among other things, the recent announcement that Intel will build a massive factory in Ohio. “Not only did he recently announce the largest economic development project in Ohio’s history, but he cut personal taxes by $2.2 billion and has signed the most pro-life and pro-2A legislation that Ohio has seen.”
It is unclear if Trump can be enticed to weigh in on the race, though he has flirted with it before. Trump seemed to talk up a primary challenge to DeWine in a November 2020 tweet shortly after DeWine became one of the first prominent Republicans to acknowledge President Joe Biden’s victory. But DeWine — who co-chaired Trump’s reelection bid in the state — has not faced the sustained barrage that Trump has launched against other Republican governors, like Georgia’s Brian Kemp or Arizona’s Doug Ducey.
Renacci also carries a black mark into his gubernatorial campaign: his unsuccessful 2018 Senate bid. He was the sole Republican to lose statewide that year in Ohio, even with it being a strong year nationally for Democrats. Renacci lost to Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown by just under 7 points, while DeWine won the governorship and Republicans carried other statewide offices like secretary of state, treasurer and auditor. All told, DeWine ran about 178,000 votes ahead of Renacci that year.